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It also presents some of the challenges faced by us. The paper outlines some of our past efforts in validating models of social systems with cognitively detailed agents. Validating social systems is not a trivial task. Since he is not yet at the level of performing missions, both his shun violence and asymmetric attacks are simultaneously activated. This transfer of primary group membership would afford him relief from his sense of helplessness, and we see his military nodes on his GSP tree getting activations as a result. The insurgency group, however, has high GSPcongruence for him and low salienceForEntry given his religious training. He saw Country Leader as creating high VID. In terms of our Villager from earlier Figure 4, he has just transitioned from the undecided or neutral Muslim villagers category to the OPPOSE level (GS3). We only permit Exit from A and joining of C after occupying GS4 for a significant interval. Thus, every state all the way through GS4 represent Voice. At the extremes on either end, the agent will submit to militaristic commands of the leader of that group, while at the next level two lower levels they will be only willing to go to protests, and verbally and economically support the activities of that group's leaders. Such exercises, in turn, are likely to improve the state of the science as well.ДЇight Rebel, Exit A-4.0-3.0-2.0-1.0 0.0 +1.0 +2.0 +3.0 +4.0 GS0 GS1 GS2 GS3 GS4 These actions are on abstract scale, which ranges from total support of the majority that is oppressing you (if you can't lick them, join them), to being undecided and/or helpless in the middle, to the other extreme of supporting and ultimately exiting A and joining the insurgency.

In sum, substantial effort on game realism, best-of-breed social-science models, and agent validation efforts is essential if analysis and training tools are to help explore cultural issues and alternative ways to influence outcomes. Section IV then offers two real-world case studies (The Third Crusade and SE Asia Today) where agent models are subjected to Turing and correspondence tests under each case study. Sections II and III present this for leader profiling instruments and group-membership decision making, respectively. Of direct interest, as Section I-A explains, is codification and synthesis of best-of-breed social-science models within PMFserv to improve the internal validity of agent implementations. Simulated leaders and followers capable of playing these games are implemented in a cognitive modeling framework, called the Performance Moderator Function Server (PMFserv), which covers value systems, personality and cultural factors, emotions, relationships, perception, stress/coping style, and decision making.

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This paper presents a theory for role-playing simulation games intended to support analysts (and trainees) with generating and testing alternative competing hypotheses on how to influence world conflict situations.